Facebook-WhatsApp’s ‘accept our data grab or get out’ decision is pushing millions of users to migrate to rival platforms like Signal and Telegram. This could bring into question the rationale behind FB’s $5.7-bn investment in Jio Platforms, which was aimed at capturing a larger slice of India’s retail pie.
Result: WhatsApp’s loss is turning out to be Signal’s and Telegram’s gains as hundreds of thousands of users have switched over to these rival apps that offer greater levels of privacy and security.
Matters came to a head recently when several threads of private group chat links showed up on Google searches, enabling almost anyone to join or eavesdrop on these groups.
As part of this initiative, Facebook has, according to some media reports, began the process of merging chats on its Instagram and Messenger apps. It has already completed the integration of Messenger rooms with WhatsApp.
The very real fear that sensitive corporate information and investment decisions involving billions of dollars could be susceptible to motivated spying or just plain nuisance is spooking users who are moving in droves to rivals such as Signal and Telegram.
According to media reports, at least three major fund managers with billions of dollars of public money under their control have shifted away from the Facebook app, which remains the market leader in India.
The grapevine has it that dozens of other such investor groups, with millions of subscribers, are also planning to follow suit. Many of these groups, with stock market gurus, analysts, investors, media persons as members, are instrumental in funnelling billions of dollars into the Indian stock markets and fuelling the boom that has taken the benchmark indices, the Sensex and the Nifty to record highs.
Close on the heels of Elon Musk, freshly minted as the world’s richest man and co-founder of Tesla, asking people to switch to Signal, some of the leading voices in India’s technology landscape also joined the chorus.
Echoing this sentiment, the Co-Founder and CEO of PhonePe, Sameer Nigam, tweeted: “Product wise, Signal has arrived. Moved 1000+ PhonePe-rs to Signal. Recreated all my work groups. Moved my family groups…. Zero switching cost. Just retain your WhatsApp account (like your old 90s Hotmail account) to reference old threads.”
This doesn’t spell good news for WhatsApp, which is India’s most popular instant messaging app by a distance. At last count, it had 400 million active users in India; that is more than the entire population of the United States.
Though the exact contours of the damage this sudden change in policy can cause is not yet clear, some analysts opined that it could upset the applecart for Facebook’s $5.7-billion acquisition of a 9.99 per cent stake in Jio Platforms, the technology arm of Reliance Industries.
At the time of the deal, Reliance Chairman Mukesh Ambani had said: “… JioMart and WhatsApp will empower nearly three-crore (30 million) small Indian kirana shops to digitally transact with every customer in their neighbourhood. This means all of you can order and get faster delivery of day-to-day items from nearby local shops. At the same time, small kiranas can grow their businesses and create new employment opportunities.”
If millions of users migrate from WhatsApp to rival messaging platforms, the raison d’etre of the acquisition could be considerably diluted, resulting in lower than expected value creation by these two technology behemoths.
Then, it is also not clear at this point how Facebook-WhatsApp’s “accept our data grab or get out” move will play out as and when it is tested against India’s privacy laws.
None of the parties involved have commented on this matter yet. But how this issue plays out could have a bearing not only on privacy issues among investor and corporate groups in India but also play a significant role in how the battle for India’s retail market eventually pans out.