If, as forecast, the monsoon is normal this year, it will mark the third successive year of normal rains. This will help temper the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic and help India get back on the growth trajectory much faster.
IMD Director General Mrutunjay Mohapatra told the media that that the monsoon is likely to be normal in the country as a whole, though the eastern and the north-eastern parts of India are likely to experience some deficiency.
"Southwest Monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96 to 104 per cent of Long Period Average or LPA)… Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 101 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of plus or minus 4 per cent," he said.
The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1961-2010 is 88 cm.
The onset of the monsoon could, thus, herald the much-awaited turnaround for the Indian economy.